Is having a moderate or low history, electrocardiogram, age, risk factors, troponin risk score a handicap for long-term mortality?

OBJECTIVE: History, electrocardiogram, age, risk factors, troponin risk score and troponin level follow-up are used to safely discharge low-risk patients with suspected non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome from the emergency department for a 1-month period. We aimed to comprehensively investigate the 6-month mortality of patients with the history, electrocardiogram, age, risk factors, troponin risk score. METHODS: A total of 949 non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome patients admitted to the emergency department from 01.01.2019 to 01.10.2019 were included in this retrospective study. History, electrocardiogram, age, risk factors, troponin scores of all patients were calculated by two emergency clinicians and a cardiologist. We compared the 6-month mortality of the groups. RESULTS: The mean age of the patients was 67.9 (56.4-79) years; 57.3% were male and 42.7% were female. Six-month mortality was significantly lower in the high-risk history, electrocardiogram, age, risk factors, troponin score group than in the low- and moderate-risk groups: 11/80 (12.1%), 58/206 (22%), and 150/444 (25.3%), respectively (p=0.019). CONCLUSION: Patients with high history, electrocardiogram, age, risk factors, troponin risk scores are generally treated with coronary angioplasty as soon as possible. We found that the mortality rate of this group of patients was lower in the long term compared with others. Efforts are also needed to reduce the mortality of moderate and low-risk patients. Further studies are needed on the factors affecting the 6-month mortality of moderate and low-risk acute coronary syndrome patients.

Beyond the GRACE ACS Score: Do We Need a Different Model for Men and Women after STEMI? / Além do Escore GRACE SCA: É Necessário um Modelo Diferente para Homens e Mulheres após IAMCSST?

BACKGROUND: Women, in comparison to men, experience worse outcomes after acute coronary syndrome (ACS). However, whether the female sex per se is an independent predictor of such adverse events remains unclear. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to assess the association between the female sex and in-hospital mortality after ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study by enrolling consecutive STEMI patients admitted to a tertiary hospital from January 2018 to February 2019. All patients were treated per current guideline recommendations. Multivariable logistic regression models were applied to evaluate in-hospital mortality using GRACE variables. Model accuracy was evaluated using c-index. A p-value < 0.05 was statistically significant. RESULTS: Out of the 1678 ACS patients, 709 presented with STEMI. The population consisted of 36% women, and the median age was 61 years. Women were older (63.13 years vs. 60.53 years, p = 0.011); more often presented with hypertension (75.1% vs. 62.4%, p = 0.001), diabetes (42.2% vs. 27.8%, p < 0.001), and hyperlipidemia (34.1% vs. 23.9%, p = 0.004); and were less likely to undergo percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) via radial access (23.7% vs. 46.1%, p < 0.001). In-hospital mortality rate was significantly higher in women (13.2% vs. 5.6%, p = 0.001), and the female sex remained at higher risk for in-hospital mortality (OR 2.79, 95% CI 1.15-6.76, p = 0.023). A multivariate model including age, sex, systolic blood pressure, cardiac arrest, and Killip class was 94.1% accurate in predicting in-hospital mortality, and the c-index was 0.85 (95% CI 0.77-0.93). CONCLUSION: After adjusting for the risk factors in the GRACE prediction model, women remain at higher risk for in-hospital mortality.

FUNDAMENTO: As mulheres, em comparação aos homens, apresentam piores resultados após a síndrome coronariana aguda (SCA). No entanto, ainda não está claro se o sexo feminino em si é um preditor independente de tais eventos adversos. OBJETIVO: Este estudo tem como objetivo avaliar a associação entre o sexo feminino e a mortalidade hospitalar após infarto do miocárdio com supradesnivelamento do segmento ST (IAMCSST). MÉTODOS: Conduzimos um estudo de coorte retrospectivo, recrutando pacientes consecutivos com IAMCSST, internados em um hospital terciário de janeiro de 2018 a fevereiro de 2019. Todos os pacientes foram tratados de acordo com as recomendações das diretrizes atuais. Modelos de regressão logística multivariada foram aplicados para avaliar a mortalidade hospitalar utilizando variáveis de GRACE. A precisão do modelo foi avaliada usando o índice c. Um valor de p < 0,05 foi estatisticamente significativo. RESULTADOS: Dos 1.678 pacientes com SCA, 709 apresentaram IAMCSST. A população era composta por 36% de mulheres e a idade média era de 61 anos. As mulheres tinham maior idade (63,13 anos vs. 60,53 anos, p = 0,011); apresentavam hipertensão (75,1% vs. 62,4%, p = 0,001), diabetes (42,2% vs. 27,8%, p < 0,001) e hiperlipidemia (34,1% vs. 23,9%, p = 0,004) mais frequentemente; e apresentaram menor probabilidade de serem submetidas a intervenção coronária percutânea (ICP) por acesso radial (23,7% vs. 46,1%, p < 0,001). A taxa de mortalidade hospitalar foi significativamente maior em mulheres (13,2% vs. 5,6%, p = 0,001), e o sexo feminino permaneceu em maior risco de mortalidade hospitalar (OR 2,79, IC de 95% 1,15­6,76, p = 0,023). Um modelo multivariado incluindo idade, sexo, pressão arterial sistólica, parada cardíaca e classe de Killip atingiu 94,1% de precisão na previsão de mortalidade hospitalar, e o índice c foi de 0,85 (IC de 95% 0,77­0,93). CONCLUSÃO: Após ajuste para os fatores de risco no modelo de previsão do GRACE, as mulheres continuam em maior risco de mortalidade hospitalar.

Sex Differences in Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients With Kidney Failure.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of mortality in patients with kidney failure, and their risk of cardiovascular events is 10 to 20 times higher as compared with the general population. METHODS AND RESULTS: We evaluated 508 822 patients who initiated dialysis between January 1, 2005 and December 31, 2014 using the United States Renal Data System with linked Medicare claims. We determined hospitalization rates for cardiovascular events, defined by acute coronary syndrome, heart failure, and stroke. We examined the association of sex with outcome of cardiovascular events, cardiovascular death, and all-cause death using adjusted time-to-event models. The mean age was 70±12 years and 44.7% were women. The cardiovascular event rate was 232 per thousand person-years (95% CI, 231-233), with a higher rate in women than in men (248 per thousand person-years [95% CI, 247-250] versus 219 per thousand person-years [95% CI, 217-220]). Women had a 14% higher risk of cardiovascular events than men (hazard ratio [HR], 1.14 [95% CI, 1.13-1.16]). Women had a 16% higher risk of heart failure (HR, 1.16 [95% CI, 1.15-1.18]), a 31% higher risk of stroke (HR, 1.31 [95% CI, 1.28-1.34]), and no difference in risk of acute coronary syndrome (HR, 1.01 [95% CI, 0.99-1.03]). Women had a lower risk of cardiovascular death (HR, 0.89 [95% CI, 0.88-0.90]) and a lower risk of all-cause death than men (HR, 0.96 [95% CI, 0.95-0.97]). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients undergoing dialysis, women have a higher risk of cardiovascular events of heart failure and stroke than men. Women have a lower adjusted risk of cardiovascular mortality and all-cause mortality.

Effects of the stress hyperglycemia ratio on long-term mortality in patients with triple-vessel disease and acute coronary syndrome.

AIMS: Risk assessment for triple-vessel disease (TVD) remain challenging. Stress hyperglycemia represents the regulation of glucose metabolism in response to stress, and stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) is recently found to reflect true acute hyperglycemic status. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of SHR and its role in risk stratification in TVD patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). METHODS: A total of 3812 TVD patients with ACS with available baseline SHR measurement were enrolled from two independent centers. The endpoint was cardiovascular mortality. Cox regression was used to evaluate the association between SHR and cardiovascular mortality. The SYNTAX (Synergy Between Percutaneous Coronary Intervention With Taxus and Cardiac Surgery) II (SSII) was used as the reference model in the model improvement analysis. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 5.1 years, 219 (5.8%) TVD patients with ACS suffered cardiovascular mortality. TVD patients with ACS with high SHR had an increased risk of cardiovascular mortality after robust adjustment for confounding (high vs. median SHR: adjusted hazard ratio 1.809, 95% confidence interval 1.160-2.822, P = 0.009), which was fitted as a J-shaped pattern. The prognostic value of the SHR was found exclusively among patients with diabetes instead of those without diabetes. Moreover, addition of SHR improved the reclassification abilities of the SSII model for predicting cardiovascular mortality in TVD patients with ACS. CONCLUSIONS: The high level of SHR is associated with the long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality in TVD patients with ACS, and is confirmed to have incremental prediction value beyond standard SSII. Assessment of SHR may help to improve the risk stratification strategy in TVD patients who are under acute stress.

Safety of Clopidogrel vs. Ticagrelor in Dual Antiplatelet Therapy Regimens for High-Bleeding Risk Acute Coronary Syndrome Patients: A Comprehensive Meta-analysis of Adverse Outcomes.

INTRODUCTION: Patients of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) at a high-bleeding risk (HBR) often require dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) to reduce the risk of recurrent cardiovascular events. Clopidogrel and ticagrelor are the most commonly used antiplatelet agents in DAPT regimens. However, the safety profiles of these drugs in ACS patients at HBR remain a subject of ongoing debate. AIM: To investigate any difference between the safety of clopidogrel and ticagrelor used as a part of DAPT regimen in ACS patients at HBR. METHODS: A systematic search on PubMed, Cochrane Library, and Google Scholar was conducted to identify experimental and observational studies published up to the knowledge cutoff date in September 2023. Studies comparing the safety of clopidogrel and ticagrelor in ACS patients at HBR were included for analysis. The primary outcomes assessed were major bleeding events, stroke, and myocardial infarction (MI), while secondary outcomes included all-cause mortality, major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE), and net adverse clinical and cerebral events (NACCE). RESULTS: We included a total of 8 observational studies in our meta-analysis. The pooled analysis revealed a statistically significant increase in the risk of MI (pooled RR = 1.43; 95% CI 1.12-1.83; P = 0.005) in the patients using clopidogrel. There were no statistically significant differences in major bleeding events (pooled RR = 0.94; 95% CI 0.82-1.09; P = 0.44), stroke (pooled RR = 1.36; 95% CI 0.86-2.14; P = 0.18), all-cause mortality (pooled RR = 1.17; 95% CI 0.97-1.41; P = 0.10), MACCE (pooled RR = 1.07; 95% CI 0.76-1.50; P = 0.69) and NACCE (pooled RR = 0.95; 95% CI 0.66-1.37; P = 0.78) between the two groups. Subgroup analyses based on region were performed. CONCLUSION: Both drugs are generally safe for treating ACS patients with HBR at baseline, although a higher risk of MI was observed with the use of clopidogrel. Nevertheless, drug choice should factor in regional variations, patient-specific characteristics, cost, accessibility, and potential drug interactions.

Regional variations in management and outcomes of patients with acute coronary syndrome in China: Evidence from the National Chest Pain Center Program.

Regional variations in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) management and outcomes have been an enormous public health issue. However, studies have yet to explore how to reduce the variations. The National Chest Pain Center Program (NCPCP) is the first nationwide, hospital-based, comprehensive, continuous quality improvement program for improving the quality of care in patients with ACS in China. We evaluated the association of NCPCP and regional variations in ACS healthcare using generalized linear mixed models and interaction analysis. Patients in the Western region had longer onset-to-first medical contact (FMC) time and time stay in non-percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) hospitals, lower rates of PCI for ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients, and higher rates of medication usage. Patients in Central regions had relatively lower in-hospital mortality and in-hospital heart failure rates. Differences in the door-to-balloon time (DtoB) and in-hospital mortality between Western and Eastern regions were less after accreditation (ß = -8.82, 95% confidence interval (CI) -14.61 to -3.03; OR = 0.79, 95%CI 0.70 to 0.91). Similar results were found in differences in DtoB time, primary PCI rate for STEMI between Central and Eastern regions. The differences in PCI for higher-risk non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS) patients among different regions had been smaller. Additionally, the differences in medication use between Eastern and Western regions were higher after accreditation. Regional variations remained high in this large cohort of patients with ACS from hospitals participating in the NCPCP in China. More comprehensive interventions and hospital internal system optimizations are needed to further reduce regional variations in the management and outcomes of patients with ACS.

Left atrial strain is associated with long-term mortality in acute coronary syndrome patients.

To investigate the long-term prognostic value of the left atrial (LA) strain indices - peak atrial longitudinal strain (PALS), peak conduit strain (PCS), and peak atrial contractile strain (PACS) in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients in relation to all-cause mortality. This retrospective study included ACS patients treated with percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and examined with echocardiography. Exclusion criteria were non-sinus rhythm during echocardiography, missing images, and inadequate image quality for 2D speckle tracking analysis of the LA. The endpoint was all-cause death. Multivariable Cox regression which included relevant clinical and echocardiographic measures was utilized to assess the relationship between LA strain parameters and all-cause mortality. A total of 371 were included. Mean age was 64 years and 76% were male. Median time to echocardiography was 2 days following PCI. During a median follow-up of 5.7 years, 83 (22.4%) patients died. Following multivariable analysis, PALS (HR 1.04, 1.01-1.06, p = 0.002, per 1% decrease) and PCS (HR 1.05, 1.01-1.09, p = 0.006, per 1% decrease) remained significantly associated with all-cause mortality. PALS and PCS showed a linear relationship with the outcome whereas PACS was associated with the outcome in a non-linear fashion such that the risk of death increased when PACS < 18.22%. All LA strain parameters remained associated with worse survival rate when restricting analysis to patients with left atrial volume index < 34 ml/m2. Reduced LA function as assessed by PALS, PCS, and PACS were associated with an increased risk of long-term mortality in patients with ACS.

Age shock index as an early predictor of cardiovascular death in acute coronary syndrome patients.

BACKGROUND: The shock index (SI), reflecting heart rate (HR) to SBP ratio, is established for predicting adverse outcomes in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients. Exploring the age shock index (ASI), obtained by multiplying SI with age, could offer further insights into ACS prognosis. OBJECTIVES: Assess ASI's effectiveness in predicting in-hospital death in individuals with ACS. METHODS: This study encompassed patients with acute myocardial infarction, drawn from a national registry spanning October 2010 to January 2022. The optimal ASI threshold was established using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: A total of 27 312 patients were enrolled, exhibiting a mean age of 66 ±â€…13 years, with 72.3% being male and 47.5% having ST-elevation myocardial infarction. ROC analysis yielded an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.80, identifying the optimal ASI cutoff as 44. Multivariate regression analysis, adjusting for potential confounders, established ASI ≥ 44 as an independent predictor of in-hospital death [hazard ratio: 3.09, 95% confidence interval: 2.56-3.71, P  < 0.001]. Furthermore, ASI emerged as a notably superior predictor of in-hospital death compared to the SI (AUC ASI  = 0.80 vs. AUC SI  = 0.72, P  < 0.0001), though it did not outperform the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score (AUC ASI  = 0.80 vs. AUC GRACE  = 0.85, P  < 0.001) or thrombolysis in myocardial infarction (TIMI) risk index (AUC ASI  = 0.80 vs. AUC TIMI  = 0.84, P  < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The ASI offers an expedient mean to promptly identify ACS patients at elevated risk of in-hospital death. Its simplicity and effectiveness could render it a valuable tool for early risk stratification in this population.

Long-term secondary prevention and outcome following acute coronary syndrome: real-world results from the Swedish Primary Care Cardiovascular Database.

AIMS: Most studies of treatment adherence after acute coronary syndrome (ACS) are based on prescribed drugs and lack long-term follow-up or consecutive data on risk factor control. We studied the long-term treatment adherence, risk factor control, and its association to recurrent ACS and death. METHODS AND RESULTS: We retrospectively included 3765 patients (mean age 75 years, 40% women) with incident ACS from 1 January 2006 until 31 December 2010 from the Swedish Primary Care Cardiovascular Database of Skaraborg. All patients were followed until 31 December 2014 or death. We recorded blood pressure (BP), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), recurrent ACS, and death. We used data on dispensed drugs to calculate the proportion of days covered for secondary prevention medications. Cox regressions were used to analyse the association of achieved BP and LDL-C to recurrent ACS and death. The median follow-up time was 4.8 years. The proportion of patients that reached BP of <140/90 mm Hg was 58% at Year 1 and 66% at Year 8. 65% of the patients reached LDL-C of <2.5 mmol/L at Year 1 and 56% at Year 8; however, adherence to statins varied from 43% to 60%. Only 62% of the patients had yearly measured BP, and only 28% yearly measured LDL-C. Systolic BP was not associated with a higher risk of recurrent ACS or death. Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol of 3.0 mmol/L was associated with a higher risk of recurrent ACS {hazard ratio [HR] 1.19 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.00-1.40]} and death HR [1.26 (95% CI 1.08-1.47)] compared with an LDL-C of 1.8 mmol/L. CONCLUSION: This observational long-term real-world study demonstrates low drug adherence and potential for improvement of risk factors after ACS. Furthermore, the study confirms that uncontrolled LDL-C is associated with adverse outcome even in this older population.

In this real-world retrospective observational study, we followed 3765 elderly patients for up to 8 years after incident acute coronary syndrome.Only a low proportion of the studied population had yearly measured blood pressure and cholesterol, a low proportion had satisfied risk factor control (blood pressure and cholesterol), and adherence to secondary prevention medication was low.In this elderly population (mean age 75 years), higher levels of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol were associated with a higher risk of recurrent coronary event and death.

Diseño de un nuevo indicador de mortalidad en el síndrome coronario agudo al ingreso en la Unidad de Cuidados Intensivos / Design of a new mortality indicator in acute coronary syndrome on admission to the Intensive Care Unit

Objetivo: Diseñar un indicador de mortalidad del síndrome coronario agudo (SCA) en el servicio de medicina intensiva (SMI). Diseño: Estudio descriptivo observacional multicéntrico. Participantes: Pacientes con SCA ingresados en SMI incluidos en el registro ARIAM- SEMICYUC entre enero del 2013 y abril del 2019. Intervenciones: Ninguna. Variables de interés principales: Las variables analizadas fueron demográficas, tiempo de acceso al sistema sanitario y estado clínico. Se analizó la terapia de revascularización, los fármacos y la mortalidad. Se realizó un análisis de regresión logística de COX y posteriormente se diseñó una red neuronal. Se elaboró una curva ROC para calcula la potencia del nuevo score. Finalmente, la utilidad clínica o relevancia del indicador ARIAM se evaluará mediante un gráfico de Fagan. Resultados: Se incluyó a 17.258 pacientes, con una mortalidad al alta del SMI del 3,5% (605). Las variables analizadas con significación estadística (p<0,001) fueron introducidas en el modelo predictivo supervisado, una red neuronal artificial. El nuevo indicador ARIAM mostro una media de 0,0257 (IC del 95%, 0,0245-0,0267) en los pacientes dados de alta de UCI y de 0,27085 (IC del 95%, 0,2533-0,2886) en los que fallecieron, p <0,001. El área ROC del modelo conseguido fue de 0,918 (IC del 95%, 0,907-0,930). En el test de Fagan se demostró que el indicador ARIAM muestra que la probabilidad de fallecimiento es del 19% (IC del 95%, 18-20%) cuando es positivo y del 0,9% (IC del 95%, 0,8-1,01%) cuando es negativo. Conclusiones: Es posible crear un nuevo indicador de mortalidad del SCA en el SMI que sea más exacto, reproducible y actualizable periódicamente. (AU)

Objective: To design a mortality indicator for acute coronary syndrome (ACS) in the intensive care unit (ICU). Design: Multicenter observational descriptive study. Participants: ACS patients admitted to SMI included in the ARIAM-SEMICYUC registry between January 2013 and April 2019. Interventions: None. Main variables of interest: Variables analyzed were demographic, time of access to the health system, and clinical condition. Revascularization therapy, drugs, and mortality were analyzed. A COX regression analysis was performed and subsequently a neural network was designed. An ROC curve was developed to calculate the power of the new score. Finally, the clinical utility or relevance of the ARIAM's indicator will be evaluated using a Fagan test. Results: 17,258 patients were included, with a 3.5% (605) mortality at discharge from the ICU. The variables analyzed with statistical significance (p<0.001) were entered into the supervised predictive model, an artificial neural network. The new ARIAM's indicator showed a mean of 0.0257 (95% CI: 0.0245–0.0267) in patients discharged from the ICU and 0.27085 (95% CI: 0.2533–0.2886) in those who died, p<0.001. The ROC area of the model achieved was 0.918 (95% CI: 0.907–0.930). The Fagan test showed that the ARIAM's Indicator shows that the probability of death is 19% (95% CI: 18%–20%) when it is positive and 0.9% (95% CI: 0.8%–1.01%) when it is negative. Conclusions: It is possible to create a new mortality indicator for ACS in the ICU that is more accurate, reproducible, and periodically updated. (AU)

Modification of the GRACE Risk Score for Risk Prediction in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndromes.

Importance: The Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score, a guideline-recommended risk stratification tool for patients presenting with acute coronary syndromes (ACS), does not consider the extent of myocardial injury. Objective: To assess the incremental predictive value of a modified GRACE score incorporating high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) T at presentation, a surrogate of the extent of myocardial injury. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospectively designed longitudinal cohort study examined 3 independent cohorts of 9803 patients with ACS enrolled from September 2009 to December 2017; 2 ACS derivation cohorts (Heidelberg ACS cohort and Newcastle STEMI cohort) and an ACS validation cohort (SPUM-ACS study). The Heidelberg ACS cohort included 2535 and the SPUM-ACS study 4288 consecutive patients presenting with a working diagnosis of ACS. The Newcastle STEMI cohort included 2980 consecutive patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention. Data were analyzed from March to June 2023. Exposures: In-hospital, 30-day, and 1-year mortality risk estimates derived from an updated risk score that incorporates continuous hs-cTn T at presentation (modified GRACE). Main Outcomes and Measures: The predictive value of continuous hs-cTn T and modified GRACE risk score compared with the original GRACE risk score. Study end points were all-cause mortality during hospitalization and at 30 days and 1 year after the index event. Results: Of 9450 included patients, 7313 (77.4%) were male, and the mean (SD) age at presentation was 64.2 (12.6) years. Using continuous rather than binary hs-cTn T conferred improved discrimination and reclassification compared with the original GRACE score (in-hospital mortality: area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC], 0.835 vs 0.741; continuous net reclassification improvement [NRI], 0.208; 30-day mortality: AUC, 0.828 vs 0.740; NRI, 0.312; 1-year mortality: AUC, 0.785 vs 0.778; NRI, 0.078) in the derivation cohort. These findings were confirmed in the validation cohort. In the pooled population of 9450 patients, modified GRACE risk score showed superior performance compared with the original GRACE risk score in terms of reclassification and discrimination for in-hospital mortality end point (AUC, 0.878 vs 0.780; NRI, 0.097), 30-day mortality end point (AUC, 0.858 vs 0.771; NRI, 0.08), and 1-year mortality end point (AUC, 0.813 vs 0.797; NRI, 0.056). Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, using continuous rather than binary hs-cTn T at presentation, a proxy of the extent of myocardial injury, in the GRACE risk score improved the mortality risk prediction in patients with ACS.

Valor pronóstico de la fibrosis hepática valorada por el índice FIB4 en pacientes ingresados por síndrome coronario agudo / Prognostic value of liver fibrosis assessed by the FIB-4 index in patients with acute coronary syndrome

Introducción y objetivos: La fibrosis hepática precede a la cirrosis y a la insuficiencia hepática. Las formas subclínicas de fibrosis hepática podrían aumentar el riesgo de eventos cardiovasculares. El objetivo fue describir el valor pronóstico del índice FIB-4 en pacientes con síndrome coronario agudo (SCA) sobre la mortalidad hospitalaria y el pronóstico posterior. Métodos: Estudio retrospectivo de pacientes con SCA en un centro. Los objetivos de análisis fueron la mortalidad en la fase hospitalaria y tras el alta, así como la insuficiencia cardiaca y el sangrado mayor (SM), que se evaluaron tomando como evento competitivo la mortalidad por todas las causas y se presentan los sub-hazard ratios (sHR). Los eventos recurrentes se evaluaron mediante la razón de tasas de incidencia (IRR). Resultados: Se incluyeron a 3.106 pacientes y el 6,66% tenía un índice FIB-4 ≥ 1,3. El análisis multivariado verificó mayor riesgo de mortalidad intrahospitalaria asociado al índice FIB-4 (OR = 1,24; p=0,016) y los pacientes con valores> 2,67 presentaron el doble de riesgo (OR = 2,35; p=0,038). Tras el alta (mediana de seguimiento 1.112 días) el índice FIB-4 no tuvo valor pronóstico de mortalidad pero valores ≥ 1,3 se asociaron a mayor riesgo del primer reingreso (Shr = 1,61; p=0,04) o recurrente (IRR =1,70; p=0,001) de IC. El índice FIB-4 ≥ 1,30 se asoció con mayor riesgo de SM (sHR = 1,62; p=0,030). Conclusiones: La evaluación de la fibrosis hepática por el índice FIB-4 identifica a los pacientes con SCA con mayor riesgo de mortalidad intrahospitalaria pero también con mayor riesgo de IC y SM tras el alta.(AU)

Introduction and objectives: Liver fibrosis is present in nonalcoholic liver disease (NAFLD) and both precede liver failure. Subclinical forms of liver fibrosis might increase the risk of cardiovascular events. The objective of this study was to describe the prognostic value of the FIB-4 index on in-hospital mortality and postdischarge outcomes in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Methods: Retrospective study including all consecutive patients admitted for ACS between 2009 and 2019. According to the FIB-4 index, patients were categorized as <1.30, 1.30-2.67 or> 2.67. Heart failure (HF) and major bleeding (MB) were assessed taking all-cause mortality as a competing event and subhazard ratios (sHR) are presented. Recurrent events were evaluated by the incidence rate ratio (IRR). Results: We included 3106 patients and 6.66% had a FIB-4 index ≥ 1.3. A multivariate analysis verified a higher risk of in-hospital mortality associated with the FIB-4 index (OR, 1.24; P=.016). Patients with a FIB-4 index> 2.67 had a 2-fold higher in-hospital mortality risk (OR, 2.35; P=.038). After discharge (median follow-up 1112 days), the FIB-4 index had no prognostic value for mortality. In contrast, patients with FIB-4 index ≥ 1.3 had a higher risk of first (sHR, 1.61; P=.04) or recurrent (IRR, 1.70; P=.001) HF readmission. Similarly, FIB-4 index ≥ 1.30 was associated with a higher MB risk (sHR, 1.62; P=.030). Conclusions : The assessment of liver fibrosis by the FIB-4 index identifies ACS patients not only at higher risk of in-hospital mortality but also at higher risk of HF and MB after discharge.(AU)

Valor pronóstico de las frecuencias cardiacas bajas en pacientes ingresados con infarto agudo de miocardio / Prognostic value of low heart rates in patients admitted with acute myocardial infarction

Introducción y objetivos: Las escalas de predicción de riesgo utilizadas en síndromes coronarios agudos (SCA) utilizan modelos incrementales para estimar mortalidad para frecuencias cardiacas (FCs)> 60 lpm. Sin embargo, estudios previos comunicaron una relación no lineal entre la FC y los eventos, lo que sugiere que la FC baja puede tener un papel pronóstico no reconocido. El objetivo fue valorar el impacto pronóstico de las FCs baja en el SCA, definida como frecuencia cardiaca de admisión <50 lpm. Métodos: El estudio analizó datos del registro AMIS Plus, una cohorte de pacientes hospitalizados con SCA entre 1999 y 2021. El criterio de valoración principal fue la mortalidad hospitalaria por todas las causas, mientras que el compuesto de mortalidad por todas las causas se estableció por eventos cardiacos/cerebrovasculares mayores como secundario. Se adoptó una metodología estadística multinivel para evaluar el papel pronóstico de la FC baja en el SCA. Resultados: Se incluyó a 51.001 pacientes. La estimación cruda mostró una distribución bimodal de las variables resultados primaria y secundaria a FCs bajas y altas. Se observó una relación no lineal entre FCs y mortalidad intrahospitalaria mediante análisis restringido de spline cúbico. Una FC entre 50-75 mostró menor mortalidad que FC <50 lpm (OR=0,67; IC95%, 0,47-0,99) solo tras el análisis primario multivariado, no confirmado tras análisis múltiples de sensibilidad. Tras la puntuación de propensión emparejada, se hizo evidente el desvanecimiento progresivo del papel pronóstico de la FC <50 lpm. Conclusiones: Las FCs baja al ingreso en SCA se asocian a una mayor tasa cruda de eventos adversos. No obstante, tras la corrección de las diferencias basales, no se confirmó el papel pronóstico de la FC baja, sino que representa más bien un marcador de morbilidad subyacente. Estos resultados pueden ser clínicamente relevantes para mejorar la precisión de las puntuaciones de riesgo en el SCA.(AU)

Introduction and objectives: The risk prediction scores adopted in acute coronary syndromes (ACS) use incremental models to estimate mortality for heart rate (HR) above 60 bpm. Nonetheless, previous studies reported a nonlinear relationship between HR and events, suggesting that low HR may have an unrecognized prognostic role. We aimed to assess the prognostic impact of low HR in ACS, defined as admission HR <50 bpm. Methods: This study analyzed data from the AMIS Plus registry, a cohort of hospitalized patients with ACS between 1999 and 2021. The primary endpoint was in-hospital all-cause mortality, while a composite of all-cause mortality, major cardiac/cerebrovascular events was set as the secondary endpoint. A multilevel statistical method was used to assess the prognostic role of low HR in ACS. Results: The study included 51 001 patients. Crude estimates showed a bimodal distribution of primary and secondary endpoints with peaks at low and high HR. A nonlinear relationship between HR and in-hospital mortality was observed on restricted cubic spline analysis. An HR of 50 to 75 bpm showed lower mortality than HR <50 bpm (OR, 0.67; 95%CI, 0.47-0.99) only after primary multivariable analysis, which was not confirmed after multiple sensitivity analyses. After propensity score matching, progressive fading of the prognostic role of HR <50 bpm was evident. Conclusions: Low admission HR in ACS is associated with a higher crude rate of adverse events. Nonetheless, after correction for baseline differences, the prognostic role of low HR was not confirmed. Therefore, low HR probably represents a marker of underlying morbidity. These results may be clinically relevant in improving the accuracy of risk scores in ACS.(AU)

Extremely Low Activity of Serum Alanine Aminotransferase Is Associated with Long-Term Overall-Cause Mortality in the Elderly Patients Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention after Acute Coronary Syndrome.

Background and Objectives: Recent studies revealed that the extremely low activity of serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) is associated with frailty and contributes to increased mortality after acute physical stress. We aimed to investigate whether the extremely low activity of serum ALT (<10 U/L) at the time of diagnosis can be used to predict overall-cause mortality in elderly patients that underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) after acute coronary syndrome (ACS) diagnosis. Materials and Methods: A retrospective medical record review was performed on 1597 patients diagnosed with ACS who underwent PCI at a single university hospital from February 2014 to March 2020. The associations between the extremely low activity of serum ALT and mortality were assessed using a stepwise Cox regression (forward: conditional). Results: A total of 210 elderly patients were analyzed in this study. The number of deaths was 64 (30.5%), the mean survival time was 25.0 ± 18.9 months, and the mean age was 76.9 ± 7.6 years. The mean door-to-PCI time was 74.0 ± 20.9 min. The results of stepwise Cox regression analysis showed that the extremely low activity of serum ALT (adjusted hazard ratio: 5.157, 95% confidence interval: 3.001-8.862, p < 0.001) was the independent risk factor for long-term overall-cause mortality in the elderly who underwent PCI after ACS diagnosis. Conclusions: The extremely low activity of serum ALT at ACS diagnosis is a significant risk factor for increased long-term overall-cause mortality in the elderly who underwent PCI after ACS diagnosis. It is noteworthy that a simple laboratory test at the time of diagnosis was found to be a significant risk factor for mortality.

Higher mortality in acute coronary syndrome patients without standard modifiable risk factors: Results from a global meta-analysis of 1,285,722 patients.

BACKGROUND: Standard modifiable cardiovascular risk factors (SMuRF), comprising diabetes, hyperlipidemia, hypertension, and smoking, are used for risk stratification in acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Recent studies showed an increasing proportion of SMuRF-less ACS patients. METHODS: Embase, Medline and Pubmed were searched for studies comparing SMuRF-less and SMuRF patients with first presentation of ACS. We conducted single-arm analyses to determine the proportion of SMuRF-less patients in the ACS cohort, and compared the clinical presentation and outcomes of these patients. RESULTS: Of 1,285,722 patients from 15 studies, 11.56% were SMuRF-less. A total of 7.44% of non-ST-segment-elevation ACS patients and 12.87% of ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients were SMuRF-less. The proportion of SMuRF-less patients presenting with STEMI (60.71%) tended to be higher than those with SMuRFs (49.21%). Despite lower body mass index and fewer comorbidities such as chronic kidney disease, peripheral arterial disease, stroke and heart failure, SMuRF-less patients had increased in-hospital mortality (RR:1.57, 95%CI:1.38 to 1.80) and cardiogenic shock (RR:1.39, 95%CI:1.18 to 1.65), but lower risk of heart failure (RR:0.91, 95%CI:0.83 to 0.99). On discharge, SMuRF-less patients were prescribed less statins (RR:0.93, 95%CI:0.91 to 0.95), beta-blockers (RR:0.94, 95%CI:0.92 to 0.96), P2Y12 inhibitors (RR: 0.98, 95%CI: 0.96 to 0.99), and angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitor or angiotensin-receptor blocker (RR:0.92, 95%CI:0.75 to 0.91). CONCLUSION: In this study level meta-analysis, SMuRF-less ACS patients demonstrate higher mortality compared with patients with at least one traditional atherosclerotic risk factor. Underuse of guideline-directed medical therapy amongst SMuRF-less patients is concerning. Unraveling novel risk factors amongst SMuRF-less individuals is the next important step. SUMMARY: Standard modifiable cardiovascular risk factors (SMuRF), comprising diabetes mellitus, hyperlipidemia, hypertension, and smoking, are often used for risk stratification in acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Recent studies showed an increasing proportion of SMuRF-less ACS patients. Of 1,285,722 ACS patients, 11.56% were SMuRF-less. Despite lower body mass index and fewer comorbidities, SMuRF-less patients had increased in-hospital mortality and cardiogenic shock. However, despite worse outcomes, SMuRF-less patients were prescribed less guideline-directed medical therapies on discharge.

Las diferencias por sexo en la mortalidad tras un síndrome coronario agudo se incrementan en los países de menor riqueza y mayor desigualdad de ingresos / Sex differences in mortality after an acute coronary syndrome increase with lower country wealth and higher income inequality

Introducción y objetivos: Aunque se han comunicado varios factores asociados con las diferencias por sexo en el tratamiento y el pronóstico tras un síndrome coronario agudo (SCA), se sabe poco acerca de la influencia de factores socioeconómicos en las disparidades por sexo. Nuestro objetivo es evaluar el impacto de la riqueza nacional y la desigualdad de ingresos en las diferencias por sexo en la mortalidad tras un SCA. Métodos: Se evaluaron las diferencias entre varones y mujeres en la mortalidad a los 2 años del alta hospitalaria de 23.489 pacientes con SCA de los registros EPICOR y EPICOR Asia. Se utilizaron modelos de regresión de Cox ajustados para evaluar los terciles del producto interior bruto y de desigualdad de ingresos. Resultados: Las mujeres (24,3%) eran de más edad que los varones (65,5 frente a 59,4 años; p <0,001), tenían más comorbilidades, se las revascularizó con menos frecuencia (el 63,6 frente al 75,6%; p <0,001) y recibieron al alta menos tratamientos recomendados por las guías de práctica clínica. Comparadas con los varones, la mortalidad de las mujeres en el seguimiento fue mayor (el 6,4 frente al 4,9%; p <0,001). La asociación entre sexo y mortalidad cambió su dirección desde una hazard ratio (HR)=1,32 (IC95%, 1,17-1,49) en el análisis univariado a HR=0,76 (IC95%, 0,67-0,87) después de ajustar por variables de confusión. Estas diferencias fueron más evidentes a medida que la riqueza de los países se incrementaba (HRpaísesconbajonivelderiqueza=0,85; IC95%, 0,72-1,00; HRpaísesconnivelderiquezaintermedio=0,66; IC95%, 0,50-0,87; HRpaísesconelevadonivelderiqueza=0,60; IC95%, 0,40-0,90; pparatestdetendencia=0,115) y a medida que se equilibraba la desigualdad de ingresos (HRbajoíndicededesigualidad=0,54; IC95%, 0,36-0,81; HRíndicededesigualidadintermedio=0,66; IC95%, 0,50-0,88; HRaltoíndicededesigualidad=0,87; IC95%, 0,74-1,03; pparatestdetendencia=0,031) (AU)

Introduction and objectives: Although several factors associated with sex differences in the management and outcomes after acute coronary syndrome (ACS) have been reported, little is known about the influence of socioeconomic factors on sex disparities. Our aim was to evaluate the influence of country wealth and income inequality on national sex differences in mortality after ACS. Methods: Sex differences in 2-year postdischarge mortality were evaluated in 23 489 ACS patients from the EPICOR and EPICOR Asia registries. Adjusted Cox regression models by country-based terciles of gross national income per capita and income inequality were used. Results: Women (24.3%) were older than men (65.5 vs 59.4 years, P <.001), had more comorbidities, were less often revascularized (63.6% vs 75.6%, P <.001) and received fewer guideline recommended therapies at discharge. Compared with men, a higher percentage of women died during follow-up (6.4% vs 4.9%, P <.001). The association between sex and mortality changed direction from hazard ratio (HR) 1.32 (95%CI, 1.17-1.49) in the univariate assessment to HR 0.76 (95%CI, 0.67-0.87) after adjustment for confounders. These differences were more evident with increasing country wealth (HRlow-incomecountries = 0.85; 95%CI, 0.72-1.00; HRmid-incomecountries = 0.66; 95%CI, 0.50-0.87; HRhigh-incomecountries = 0.60; 95%CI, 0.40-0.90; trend test P = .115) and with decreasing income inequality (HRlow-inequalityindex = 0.54; 95%CI, 0.36-0.81; HRintermediate-inequalityindex = 0.66; 95%CI, 0.50-0.88; HRhigh-inequalityindex = 0.87; 95%CI, 0.74-1.03; trend test P = .031). Conclusions: Women with ACS living in high socioeconomic countries showed a lower postdischarge mortality risk compared with men. This risk was attenuated in countries with poorer socioeconomic background, where adjusted mortality rates were similar between women and men (AU)

Validation of the Grace Risk Score to Predict In-Hospital and 6-Month Post-Discharge Mortality in Patients with Acute Coronary Syndrome

Abstract Background The wide range of clinical presentations of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) makes it indispensible to use tools for risk stratification and for appropriate risks management; thus, the use of prognosis scores is recommended in the immediat clinical decision-making. Objective To validate the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score as a predictor of in-hospital and 6-month post-discharge mortality in a population diagnosed with ACS. Methods This is a prospective cohort study of consecutive patients diagnosed with ACS between May and December 2018. GRACE scores were calculated, as well as their predictive value for in-hospital and 6-month post-discharge mortality. The validity of the model was assessed by two techniques: discriminative power using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and goodness-of-fit, using the Hosmer-Lemeshow (HL) test, at the 5% level of significance. Results A total of 160 patients were included, mean age 64 (±10.9) years; of which 60% were men. The risk model showed to have satisfactory ability to predict both in-hospital mortality, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.76 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.57-0.95; p = 0.014), and 6-month post-discharge mortality, with AUC of 0.78 (95%CI, 0.62-0.94), p = 0.002. The HL test indicated good-fit for both models of the GRACE score. Conclusion In this study, the GRACE risk score for predicting mortality was appropriately validated in patients with ACS, with good discriminative power and goodness-of-fit. The results suggest that the GRACE score is appropriate for clinical use in our setting.

Mortality risk prediction of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein in suspected acute coronary syndrome: A cohort study.

BACKGROUND: There is limited evidence on the use of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) as a biomarker for selecting patients for advanced cardiovascular (CV) therapies in the modern era. The prognostic value of mildly elevated hsCRP beyond troponin in a large real-world cohort of unselected patients presenting with suspected acute coronary syndrome (ACS) is unknown. We evaluated whether a mildly elevated hsCRP (up to 15 mg/L) was associated with mortality risk, beyond troponin level, in patients with suspected ACS. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study based on the National Institute for Health Research Health Informatics Collaborative data of 257,948 patients with suspected ACS who had a troponin measured at 5 cardiac centres in the United Kingdom between 2010 and 2017. Patients were divided into 4 hsCRP groups (<2, 2 to 4.9, 5 to 9.9, and 10 to 15 mg/L). The main outcome measure was mortality within 3 years of index presentation. The association between hsCRP levels and all-cause mortality was assessed using multivariable Cox regression analysis adjusted for age, sex, haemoglobin, white cell count (WCC), platelet count, creatinine, and troponin. Following the exclusion criteria, there were 102,337 patients included in the analysis (hsCRP <2 mg/L (n = 38,390), 2 to 4.9 mg/L (n = 27,397), 5 to 9.9 mg/L (n = 26,957), and 10 to 15 mg/L (n = 9,593)). On multivariable Cox regression analysis, there was a positive and graded relationship between hsCRP level and mortality at baseline, which remained at 3 years (hazard ratio (HR) (95% CI) of 1.32 (1.18 to 1.48) for those with hsCRP 2.0 to 4.9 mg/L and 1.40 (1.26 to 1.57) and 2.00 (1.75 to 2.28) for those with hsCRP 5 to 9.9 mg/L and 10 to 15 mg/L, respectively. This relationship was independent of troponin in all suspected ACS patients and was further verified in those who were confirmed to have an ACS diagnosis by clinical coding. The main limitation of our study is that we did not have data on underlying cause of death; however, the exclusion of those with abnormal WCC or hsCRP levels >15 mg/L makes it unlikely that sepsis was a major contributor. CONCLUSIONS: These multicentre, real-world data from a large cohort of patients with suspected ACS suggest that mildly elevated hsCRP (up to 15 mg/L) may be a clinically meaningful prognostic marker beyond troponin and point to its potential utility in selecting patients for novel treatments targeting inflammation. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov - NCT03507309.